A traditional way to generate jobs in a struggling economy is for the
government to invest in public works, such as highways, railroads,
airports or water projects. The difficulty in this struggling economy
is paying for it.
A second economic stimulus package with money for public works is
probably out of the question, given the political hazards and
inflationary risk of all that government borrowing. The Highway Trust
Fund is a logical source for more infrastructure spending, because it
is supposed to cover highway and transit projects. But the fund doesn't
have enough revenue now to sustain even routine projects for any length
of time.
The solution, then, might be something between the two: a mechanism to
combine some government borrowing and private investment to build
selected projects whose users then would help pay back the cost. It's
called a National Infrastructure Bank. The European Union has one, as
does California, and the idea is a favorite of President Obama. He
endorsed it during the campaign, particularly as a way to build
inter-city, high-speed rail lines, another of his favorites.
Legislation to create such a bank was introduced in the House last
spring by Connecticut Democrat Rosa DeLauro, but it has languished in
committee despite 43 cosponsors.
Rising unemployment has given new urgency to infrastructure investment
and, perhaps, to an infrastructure bank. In late October, hoping to get
the ball rolling, two Democrats -- Senate Majority Whip Richard J.
Durbin and Pennsylvania Gov. Edward G. Rendell -- met with a group of
reporters to sketch out their financing plan. They emphasized that the
proposed bank could attract significant private investment, something
that could make the scheme more affordable and therefore more
attractive to Republicans and conservative Democrats.
"We're going to be looking for the most bang for the buck," Durbin
said. "Turning to infrastructure is one thing that's going to have
broad bipartisan support."
Fiscal conservatives of both parties, though, are bound to be
suspicious. Even limited borrowing to leverage outside investment would
add to the budget deficit. And if the projects don't produce the
revenue they promise, the government would be left holding the bag.
There's also a political risk. Because the bank would pick and choose
transportation investments, some states that benefit from today's
formula funding and congressional earmarks might feel shortchanged.
The growing consensus, however, is that economic help is needed and
that transportation projects, particularly long-range projects, are an
important part of the answer.
There is some thought that Congress will pass a two-year transportation
authorization bill, instead of the customary but politically more
complicated six-year plan, in order to get more money flowing to states
faster. That bill could be a vehicle for an infrastructure bank, which
the administration has called for "as soon as possible."
DeLauro, for one, says investors have an appetite for infrastructure
projects that have government backing. "The way we've talked about
setting up the bank allows us to leverage hundreds of millions," she
said. "There is a real interest; people are looking for safe
investments."
Highway Banking
An infrastructure bank operates much like a Wall Street investment
bank, except with government participation. Projects are proposed, the
bank assesses them and picks the most promising, then marshals the
public and private investments to get them built. Those who drive the
roads or ride the trains, for example, would pay extra in taxes or
fees, with the money used to repay the investors.
Several variations exist, although all follow this basic formula. New
York investment banker Felix Rohatyn co-chaired an infrastructure
commission for the Center for Strategic and International Studies in
2004 that came up with an infrastructure bank plan introduced as a
Senate bill in 2007 by Connecticut Democrat Christopher J. Dodd and
Nebraska Republican Chuck Hagel, who has since retired.
"Infrastructure investment," Rohatyn said in a recent interview,
"provides two things: One is employment and the other is capital." An
infrastructure bank is one of the few institutions that can supply
both. "There are a number of people who think a development bank should
be examined to push this employment question more," he said.
The bank, he explained, would be structured along the same lines as the
World Bank, which funds international development projects. It would
have a board of directors that would accept applications for funding
for transportation projects. Once the board deemed a project to have
regional or national significance, the state or city proposing it could
receive support from the bank in a number of ways. The bank could
provide a direct subsidy, could purchase credit guarantees for bonds
that finance roads or could provide interest rate subsidies. Another
option could be a direct loan to be repaid through tolls or other user
fees.
The Dodd-Hagel bill called for up to $60 billion in long-term federal
bonds to get the bank started. Obama, during his campaign, suggested
that the bank would borrow $60 billion from the Treasury to invest in
infrastructure projects over 10 years.
In his first budget request as president, Obama asked for $5 billion to
get a bank started. DeLauro's bill would authorize that amount each
year, with $250 billion in total subscribed capital available from the
Treasury. However, House appropriators, in their fiscal 2010
transportation spending bill, would provide just $2 billion if the bank
is authorized. And the Senate would provide nothing except $1.1 billion
in grants for transportation projects of regional or national
significance.
That drew an admonition from the White House in September to support
the infrastructure bank "and not substitute in its place a national
infrastructure grant program in conjunction with increases for
transportation infrastructure credit."
Obama has asked Congress to hold down transportation spending because
he does not want to raise taxes to pay for it in this economy. But he
considers infrastructure spending a means of creating jobs. To that
end, he continues to prod Congress toward the idea of the
infrastructure bank.
Difficult Road to Travel
There are few options for making such investments in the current
economic climate. Revenue from gasoline taxes and truck sales that goes
into the Highway Trust Fund has been diminished by the recession and a
consequent reduction in driving. The remaining options are to raise
taxes -- all but impossible with congressional elections coming up next
year -- or to borrow from the Treasury.
If borrowing is inevitable, then advocates of the infrastructure bank
argue that the government might as well try to get more for its money
by leveraging private investment. But that, critics say, would require
Congress to forego the earmarked spending and state-by-state formulas
that have controlled highway, rail, aviation and transit spending for
decades.
Although the bank's intended purpose, as described by supporters, is to
provide funding where there is the greatest need, some think the money
will eventually be divvied up equally among states by formula or
earmark anyway.
"There is a fundamental tension between performance-based funding and
creating these new kinds of funding vehicles that seem much more likely
to continue politicized funding," said Robert Poole, a transportation
expert at the Reason Foundation, a pro-business, libertarian policy
think tank.
The money in the economic stimulus bill went out to states by formula
regardless of the state's needs or the merits of its projects, Poole
noted. Although a needs-based program would be a better use of the
funds, he said, lawmakers from rural states will argue against it
because it would favor metropolitan areas.
Some who have studied the issue also worry there are not enough worthy
projects that could pay back the bank's investments. Brian Grote, who
sits on a commission on transportation financing, said he's always been
skeptical that the bank could fund as many projects as proponents
promised.
"A major consideration is not the supply of capital -- it never has
been," Grote said. "It's the supply of projects that can repay that
capital."
If the bank is going to provide investment without a concern for
repayment, then skeptics like Poole say it's just a glorified grant
program. The only way it would work, Poole said, is if it operates as a
revolving-loan fund -- investment repayments would be loaned out again
in a self-supporting cycle.
But it can work, said Stanton Hazelroth, executive director of the
infrastructure and economic development bank California started in
1994. After initial funding from the state, he said, the bank is now
self-sufficient.
One thing that is clear is that an infrastructure bank would require a
big political commitment to get started. Right now, support is mostly
being driven by a need to generate jobs without major government
borrowing.
"There is clearly a lot of conversation around the need to create jobs,
and I hope that's a sign that Congress is going to move quickly on
infrastructure measures to create those jobs," said Janet Kavinoky of
the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.
"An infrastructure bank has been discussed very conceptually for quite
a while, but I have not seen a real detailed proposal lately,''
Kavinoky added. "It would not surprise me if DeLauro, Rendell, Dodd
really get to work on that."
Posted on
Thursday, November 19, 2009
by BAF